My Thoughts on the Latest Top 20 Most Wanted

1. P5 DPRK (NORTH KOREA)
2. 3Y/B BOUVET ISLAND
3. FT5/W CROZET ISLAND
4. BS7H SCARBOROUGH REEF
5. KH1 BAKER HOWLAND ISLANDS
6. CE0X SAN FELIX ISLANDS
7. BV9P PRATAS ISLAND
8. KH7K KURE ISLAND
9. KH3 JOHNSTON ISLAND
10. VK0M MACQUARIE ISLAND
11. FT5/X KERGUELEN ISLAND
12. 3Y/P PETER 1 ISLAND
13. FT/G GLORIOSO ISLAND
14. YV0 AVES ISLAND
15. KH4 MIDWAY ISLAND
16. ZS8 PRINCE EDWARD & MARION ISLANDS
17. VP8O SOUTH ORKNEY ISLANDS
18. SV/A MOUNT ATHOS
19. PY0T TRINDADE & MARTIM VAZ ISLANDS
20. PY0S SAINT PETER AND PAUL ROCKS

List from May 2018 Clublog Most Wanted List

Here are the one’s I think will stay in limbo for quite some time – due to political, access or cost issues that may even keep some of these off limits for good:

P5 (that phoney baloney so called “summit” has already been walked back as I had expected), BS7H – will become a Chinese concrete base soon (right from underneath the US eye), YV0 – Venezuela has political issues for sure – I doubt the Venezuelan Navy has a big charter to go to Aves.

Environmental Access issues – FT5/W, KH7/K, FT/G – probably PY0S. These have all become as tightly managed as Navassa or Desecheo.

Cost – 3Y/P and VP8/O

Entities with the highest probability of an activation – VK0/M and KH1 – for sure, KH3, FT5/X, KH4, ZS8, SV/A, PY0T – just because there are either bases or contractors visiting such bases.

Wildcards – 3Y0/B – no recent news from 3Y0I though – but last heard they seemed to have the finances in line – but I haven’t heard any foundation offering a grant to them. I’m really waiting for that before I get my hopes up. I think San Felix and Pratas both have a better than 50% chance of an activation, maybe Glorioso – because the French Team is just so good – if it can be done – we have the best team to attempt it.

It will be interesting to see when the next “surprise” activation happens. I used to think being at the bottom of the cycle had a dampening affect on activations of Top 10 or Top 20 – but I feel that if there is an entity that can be activated – and the US F&W or other organization allows access – someone will activate it regardless.

My guess as to what the next big announcement will be?

KH7/K – Kure. It is long overdue and I bet someone announces it before the end of 2018 – to happen maybe in 2019. I also do think 3Y0I will happen in 2018 – but my confidence is very seriously “guarded” on that one. We’ve heard several announcements that went nowhere regarding Bouvet – and also know it ain’t easy to activate in any case.

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