Will 2020 Be As Devoid of Sunspots as 2019?

Waiting for Sunspots . . . 

This year has been brutal sunspot wise, but I have worked plenty of DX on 40M, and occasionally 30, 20 and 17M.

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 1 day
2019 total: 229 days (74%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

The above data is from Space Weather:

https://www.spaceweather.com/

If 2019 is like 2008, then its possible that 2020 could be as bad as 2009. Brace yourself for another year like this one – and hope the pattern doesn’t repeat. We could get lucky if 2018 lines up with 2008 and 2019 with 2009.

The last 2 months have “flat lined” as far as sunspots go

I listened to the ARRL’s Sweepstakes CW contest on 40M over the weekend – and heard very little – in fact the least I’ve ever heard as far as that contest goes. CQ WW still seems to attract quite a few people – has Sweepstakes fallen by the wayside? I don’t think it was due to poor conditions, but I suppose that could have contributed to it. I do think HF CW DXing has become a victim of FT8 – it seems that there is less CW DX activity on the bands – although the big DXpeditions do bring out people from their hiding places.

 

 

2 Comments on “Will 2020 Be As Devoid of Sunspots as 2019?

  1. Sweepstakes sounded less hectic here in the upper midwest as well.

    I do not spend much time operating the big contests, my CW competency still does not reach the high speeds that are in play. I do participate in state QSO parties when time permits. I run a simple station; paddle, an ancient Logikey and decode in my head.

    I have been wondering if the speeds fostered by programs like N1MM together with CW readers have pushed the speeds beyond participation by all but the top operators or those using mechanical decoding.

    Jim
    KF9VV

    Like

    • Hello Jim. Good question. On most contests and big DXpeditions, they use N1MM plus keyers, so it seems that a lot of it is automated.

      I still only use a single lever paddle and built in rig keyer, and I don’t contest, unless I need an entity in a DX contest.

      Like

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