Did Cycle 25 Just Start? (and LA1MFA on 40M!)

Possibly exciting news, that Cycle 25 may have just started. We won’t really know for a while – but it sure would be nice if we didn’t have to wait another year. From SpaceWeather.com (Friday, November 8, 2019) – https://www.spaceweather.com/ SIGNS OF LIFE FROM SOLAR CYCLE 25: Big things have small beginnings. Years from now, observers may look back from the perch of a new Solar…

Solar Cycle 24: How Low Can We Go?

A flat lined Solar Cycle 24 – from https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression Gee, I guess the bottom of the cycle could go on longer than I had first thought. Its OK because 40M is still quite good – and the noise level in the wee hours of the morning is a low S6 – which means I do have a relatively quiet QTH. I do get some RF…

FREQ 300 and Cycle 25 Prediction

Image from https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/solar-cycle-25-preliminary-forecast It looks like we can expect Cycle 25 to start up anytime in the next year. If the bottom of the cycle lasts as long as last bottom (Cycle 23 to 24), then expect it to be further out – or, maybe we will get lucky (and I’m betting we will), the bottom of this cycle won’t be as long as last…

End of Cycle 24: Beginning of Cycle 25

I don’t know why – but it just seems like the bottom of Cycle 24 is not – and will not be as long and as bad as the bottom of Cycle 23 The bottom of Cycle 23 was downright brutal. It was zero and went that way for a long time. It seemed like nothing much was happening above 40M – but it…

Cycle 25, Bouvet and Glorioso

This graph is from a very interesting web site – http://users.telenet.be/j.janssens/SC24web/SC24.html I know that we have already had a Cycle 25 sunspot, so it will be interesting how long the minimum will be between Cycle 24 and 25. This graph shows how unusual Cycle 24 was at its bottom. It was deeper and longer than the past three cycles. This is one of the…

2019: Bottom of Cycle 24?

Predicting the sunspot cycle seems to be even less accurate than predicting the weather, but it’s still fun to at least “ponder” The sunspot cycle on average is usually 11 or 11.5 years, but some years its shorter and some longer – in fact it has ranged from 9 to 14 years in the past. I’m going to go out on a ledge and…

Bouvet and Glorioso – They Can Wait!

Conditions are so bad – I’m actually hoping that the teams that will activate Bouvet and Glorioso will wait until about 2024 or so. I’d be afraid that if they went now – I wouldn’t even hear them and it would be like FT5GA all over again. We are very much at rock bottom, and I expect that conditions will suck in 2019 and…

DXpeditions and Cycle 25: Last Man Standing?

I recently read a comment by several DXpeditioners who have said they either have or will retire after Cycle 24. There is no doubt that the pool of those capable and willing to pull off a Mega DXpedition will start to diminish – and I’m talking now – if it hasn’t already happened. Looking at the best site for DXpedition listings: https://www.ng3k.com/misc/adxo.html There are…

Solar Cycle 24 Bottom 1.5 years Earlier Than Predicted?

I’ve believed for some time that the bottom of Cycle 24 would start in 2018 – probably not long after 3Y0Z, and that they would get the “last gasp” of propagation before we get back into the days where even 20M doesn’t open much. This article also says something similar: https://watchers.news/2017/12/20/solar-activity-cycle-falls-to-the-bottom-1-5-years-earlier-than-expected/ I have noticed that the lower bands have been even better than just…